Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001944 0.002061 0.002183 0.002319 0.002466 0.002620 0.002795
2025-05-11 0.001812 0.001983 0.002167 0.002381 0.002624 0.002892 0.003211
2025-05-18 0.001693 0.001896 0.002123 0.002395 0.002715 0.003081 0.003537
2025-05-25 0.001569 0.001790 0.002041 0.002351 0.002727 0.003170 0.003741
2025-06-01 0.001478 0.001713 0.001985 0.002328 0.002754 0.003272 0.003959
2025-06-08 0.001422 0.001670 0.001964 0.002343 0.002825 0.003426 0.004247
2025-06-15 0.001355 0.001610 0.001918 0.002321 0.002844 0.003512 0.004447
2025-06-22 0.001299 0.001561 0.001881 0.002307 0.002871 0.003605 0.004661
2025-06-29 0.001246 0.001511 0.001840 0.002285 0.002883 0.003678 0.004847
2025-07-06 0.001193 0.001460 0.001795 0.002253 0.002879 0.003727 0.005001
2025-07-13 0.001132 0.001395 0.001728 0.002190 0.002829 0.003707 0.005052
2025-07-20 0.001105 0.001374 0.001717 0.002200 0.002879 0.003829 0.005317
2025-07-27 0.001087 0.001365 0.001726 0.002242 0.002982 0.004041 0.005748
2025-08-03 0.001078 0.001368 0.001750 0.002305 0.003119 0.004314 0.006298
2025-08-10 0.001051 0.001346 0.001739 0.002320 0.003185 0.004483 0.006698
2025-08-17 0.001008 0.001299 0.001692 0.002278 0.003165 0.004517 0.006875
2025-08-24 0.000974 0.001264 0.001659 0.002256 0.003172 0.004593 0.007128
2025-08-31 0.000954 0.001248 0.001652 0.002271 0.003236 0.004763 0.007558
2025-09-07 0.000924 0.001216 0.001622 0.002249 0.003241 0.004836 0.007820
2025-09-14 0.000898 0.001190 0.001598 0.002236 0.003258 0.004929 0.008126
2025-09-21 0.000872 0.001161 0.001570 0.002214 0.003260 0.004996 0.008387
2025-09-28 0.000844 0.001130 0.001537 0.002184 0.003246 0.005034 0.008594
2025-10-05 0.000809 0.001088 0.001486 0.002124 0.003178 0.004974 0.008601